Recent MetService and MetOffice guidance points to a 14°C maximum for Wellington on August 12 under fine but increasingly cloudy conditions with light northerly to northeasterly flow, aligning closely with the long-term August average high of 12–13°C. Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly between the 14°C and 15°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest uncertainty from variable wind patterns that can enhance or suppress daytime warming in Wellington’s exposed, maritime setting; a brief northerly component may allow readings to edge higher, while any strengthening southerly influence would favor the lower band. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average temperatures in the region reinforces the tight clustering, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hour forecast updates from official agencies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月12日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月12日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
15°C 46%
14℃ 46%
13°C 5%
16°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
9℃以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14℃
46%
15°C
46%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18℃
1%
19℃以上
<1%
15°C 46%
14℃ 46%
13°C 5%
16°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/12
9℃以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$10 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$12 Vol.
1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
3%
13°C
$30 Vol.
5%
14℃
$44 Vol.
46%
15°C
$35 Vol.
46%
16°C
$1 Vol.
4%
17°C
$20 Vol.
2%
18℃
$10 Vol.
1%
19℃以上
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and MetOffice guidance points to a 14°C maximum for Wellington on August 12 under fine but increasingly cloudy conditions with light northerly to northeasterly flow, aligning closely with the long-term August average high of 12–13°C. Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly between the 14°C and 15°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest uncertainty from variable wind patterns that can enhance or suppress daytime warming in Wellington’s exposed, maritime setting; a brief northerly component may allow readings to edge higher, while any strengthening southerly influence would favor the lower band. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average temperatures in the region reinforces the tight clustering, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hour forecast updates from official agencies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$151終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and MetOffice guidance points to a 14°C maximum for Wellington on August 12 under fine but increasingly cloudy conditions with light northerly to northeasterly flow, aligning closely with the long-term August average high of 12–13°C. Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly between the 14°C and 15°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest uncertainty from variable wind patterns that can enhance or suppress daytime warming in Wellington’s exposed, maritime setting; a brief northerly component may allow readings to edge higher, while any strengthening southerly influence would favor the lower band. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average temperatures in the region reinforces the tight clustering, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hour forecast updates from official agencies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$151終了日
2026/08/12マーケット開始日
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent MetService and MetOffice guidance points to a 14°C maximum for Wellington on August 12 under fine but increasingly cloudy conditions with light northerly to northeasterly flow, aligning closely with the long-term August average high of 12–13°C. Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly between the 14°C and 15°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest uncertainty from variable wind patterns that can enhance or suppress daytime warming in Wellington’s exposed, maritime setting; a brief northerly component may allow readings to edge higher, while any strengthening southerly influence would favor the lower band. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average temperatures in the region reinforces the tight clustering, with resolution hinging on the final 24–48 hour forecast updates from official agencies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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