Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 10 forecasts mainly fine, extremely hot conditions with a 29–35 °C range, aligning with the closely matched 34 °C and 35 °C market outcomes. Above-normal seasonal temperatures, weak steering winds, strong solar insolation under clear skies, and the urban heat island effect support peak readings in this band, while moderate humidity and any late-day convection introduce slight downside risk. Model consensus and recent analogs for similar synoptic setups favor the upper end of the forecast envelope, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could cap the daily maximum one degree lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日の香港の最高気温は?
34°C 34%
35°C 33%
36°C 14%
33°C 9%
$12,092 Vol.
$12,092 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
34%
35°C
33%
36°C
14%
37°C
8%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 34%
35°C 33%
36°C 14%
33°C 9%
$12,092 Vol.
$12,092 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
34%
35°C
33%
36°C
14%
37°C
8%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 10 forecasts mainly fine, extremely hot conditions with a 29–35 °C range, aligning with the closely matched 34 °C and 35 °C market outcomes. Above-normal seasonal temperatures, weak steering winds, strong solar insolation under clear skies, and the urban heat island effect support peak readings in this band, while moderate humidity and any late-day convection introduce slight downside risk. Model consensus and recent analogs for similar synoptic setups favor the upper end of the forecast envelope, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns could cap the daily maximum one degree lower.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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