A severe heatwave gripping South Korea has driven trader focus on the Incheon station reading for August 8, with official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts pointing to a daily maximum near 34–35 °C under persistent high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that limits overnight cooling. Recent model runs show modest stabilization after mid-week peaks near 39 °C in Seoul proper, while Incheon’s coastal location introduces slight marine moderation that caps upside risk. The closely bunched probabilities around 34–36 °C reflect uncertainty in the precise timing of any weakening high and potential for localized convective cooling, with traders weighting the latest KMA short-range updates most heavily ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
35°C 31%
36°C 23%
34°C 22%
33°C 19%
31°C or below
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
19%
34°C
22%
35°C
31%
36°C
23%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 31%
36°C 23%
34°C 22%
33°C 19%
31°C or below
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
19%
34°C
22%
35°C
31%
36°C
23%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
A severe heatwave gripping South Korea has driven trader focus on the Incheon station reading for August 8, with official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts pointing to a daily maximum near 34–35 °C under persistent high pressure, light easterly flow, and elevated humidity that limits overnight cooling. Recent model runs show modest stabilization after mid-week peaks near 39 °C in Seoul proper, while Incheon’s coastal location introduces slight marine moderation that caps upside risk. The closely bunched probabilities around 34–36 °C reflect uncertainty in the precise timing of any weakening high and potential for localized convective cooling, with traders weighting the latest KMA short-range updates most heavily ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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