Cape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
8月8日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
17°C 38%
18℃ 37%
16℃ 18%
19°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16℃
18%
17°C
38%
18℃
37%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C以上
2%
17°C 38%
18℃ 37%
16℃ 18%
19°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
11℃以下
$36 Vol.
<1%
12℃
$178 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$10 Vol.
2%
14°C
$234 Vol.
3%
15°C
$8 Vol.
5%
16℃
$67 Vol.
18%
17°C
$13 Vol.
38%
18℃
$16 Vol.
37%
19°C
$11 Vol.
10%
20°C
$23 Vol.
2%
21°C以上
$23 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$620終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$620終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETCape Town's winter Mediterranean climate, moderated by the cold Benguela Current and frequent Atlantic cold fronts, typically produces daily highs near 17°C in early August, aligning with the near-tie between 17°C (37.5%) and 18°C (36.5%) in current market-implied odds. Short-range model consensus and recent outlooks for the Western Cape point to variable conditions, including possible light northerly or southerly flows and partial cloud cover that could limit or enhance daytime warming by a degree or two. Historical variability shows highs commonly spanning 15–19°C this time of year, with any approaching front or clearer high-pressure ridge serving as the key differentiator between the leading outcomes. Updated NHC-equivalent South African Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the August 8 resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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