Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a daily high near 34°C for Chongqing on August 6, aligning with the city's humid subtropical climate and typical August peaks. This drives the market's leading 34°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 33°C and 35°C. Persistent regional heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet steering patterns and possible afternoon convection limit upside risk above 35°C while keeping downside below 33°C contained. Short-term model consensus remains stable, with limited divergence expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日の重慶の最高気温は?
34°C 44%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 8%
$19,708 Vol.
$19,708 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
44%
35°C
18%
36°C
5%
37℃以上
3%
34°C 44%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 8%
$19,708 Vol.
$19,708 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
44%
35°C
18%
36°C
5%
37℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international sources project a daily high near 34°C for Chongqing on August 6, aligning with the city's humid subtropical climate and typical August peaks. This drives the market's leading 34°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 33°C and 35°C. Persistent regional heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures, yet steering patterns and possible afternoon convection limit upside risk above 35°C while keeping downside below 33°C contained. Short-term model consensus remains stable, with limited divergence expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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