Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high in Shanghai on August 5, reflecting real-time observations from official monitoring stations confirming this peak under typical subtropical summer conditions. Shanghai’s August climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and warm Pacific air masses, produces average daily highs near 32°C, with humidity often amplifying perceived heat but rarely pushing extremes beyond 35°C without specific synoptic setups like stalled highs. Recent model runs and observational data align closely with this outcome, leaving minimal room for variance at other thresholds. The primary uncertainty stems from potential microscale variations across urban stations or minor forecast revisions in final verified readings, though such shifts remain statistically improbable given the narrow observed range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の上海の最高気温は?
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$113,292 Vol.
$113,292 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.6%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$113,292 Vol.
$113,292 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus heavily favors a 33°C high in Shanghai on August 5, reflecting real-time observations from official monitoring stations confirming this peak under typical subtropical summer conditions. Shanghai’s August climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and warm Pacific air masses, produces average daily highs near 32°C, with humidity often amplifying perceived heat but rarely pushing extremes beyond 35°C without specific synoptic setups like stalled highs. Recent model runs and observational data align closely with this outcome, leaving minimal room for variance at other thresholds. The primary uncertainty stems from potential microscale variations across urban stations or minor forecast revisions in final verified readings, though such shifts remain statistically improbable given the narrow observed range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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