Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 project overnight minimums of 14–15 °C under building high pressure, light winds, and partly clear skies that favor radiative cooling. Numerical models from the Met Office and ECMWF show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns following a mild early-August period. Historical August climatology places average London lows near 13–14 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 13–15 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow probability distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のロンドンの最低気温は?
14℃ 37%
13°C 27%
15°C 16%
16°C 10%
10℃以下
2%
11°C
7%
12℃
8%
13°C
29%
14℃
37%
15°C
16%
16°C
10%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C以上
2%
14℃ 37%
13°C 27%
15°C 16%
16°C 10%
10℃以下
2%
11°C
7%
12℃
8%
13°C
29%
14℃
37%
15°C
16%
16°C
10%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 project overnight minimums of 14–15 °C under building high pressure, light winds, and partly clear skies that favor radiative cooling. Numerical models from the Met Office and ECMWF show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns following a mild early-August period. Historical August climatology places average London lows near 13–14 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 13–15 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow probability distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問