**Forecast models from MetService and other agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 8–9°C for Wellington on August 5, 2026, under a strong southerly flow with showers easing through the day and frost developing overnight.** This cooler-than-average reading—well below the typical August high near 12°C—stems from recent cold air advection and possible residual effects from earlier sleety showers and snow lowering to low elevations. Official guidance shows high consistency across runs, with daytime peaks limited by persistent southerlies and cloud cover, producing the overwhelming market consensus at 9°C. Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions if winds shift or if the official recording station (typically Wellington Aero) captures a brief spike near 10°C, though current model agreement and observed conditions make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
9°C 99.8%
10°C <1%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
$178,932 Vol.
$178,932 Vol.
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
9°C 99.8%
10°C <1%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
$178,932 Vol.
$178,932 Vol.
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from MetService and other agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 8–9°C for Wellington on August 5, 2026, under a strong southerly flow with showers easing through the day and frost developing overnight.** This cooler-than-average reading—well below the typical August high near 12°C—stems from recent cold air advection and possible residual effects from earlier sleety showers and snow lowering to low elevations. Official guidance shows high consistency across runs, with daytime peaks limited by persistent southerlies and cloud cover, producing the overwhelming market consensus at 9°C. Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions if winds shift or if the official recording station (typically Wellington Aero) captures a brief spike near 10°C, though current model agreement and observed conditions make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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