Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Beijing on August 5 likely reaching 36–37 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with surface highs constrained by residual moisture from recent showers and urban heat-island effects at official stations. The tight 36 °C versus 37 °C market split reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily maximum and small differences among regional models, while the lower 38 °C odds align with climatological rarity of exceeding 37 °C this early in August absent a stronger high-pressure ridge. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day convective cooling will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の北京の最高気温は?
37°C 45%
36°C 40%
38°C 19%
39°C or higher 1.2%
$29,029 Vol.
$29,029 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
42%
37°C
45%
38°C
19%
39°C or higher
1%
37°C 45%
36°C 40%
38°C 19%
39°C or higher 1.2%
$29,029 Vol.
$29,029 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
42%
37°C
45%
38°C
19%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak temperatures in Beijing on August 5 likely reaching 36–37 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread, with surface highs constrained by residual moisture from recent showers and urban heat-island effects at official stations. The tight 36 °C versus 37 °C market split reflects genuine uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily maximum and small differences among regional models, while the lower 38 °C odds align with climatological rarity of exceeding 37 °C this early in August absent a stronger high-pressure ridge. Updated afternoon observations and any late-day convective cooling will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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