Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a maximum of 32–33 °C for August 6 under continued subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong solar heating, with urban areas slightly cooler than the New Territories owing to the heat-island effect. This consensus, combined with August climatology showing typical daily highs near 31–33 °C and seasonal forecasts calling for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (44.5 %) and adjacent outcomes at 32 °C and 34 °C. Minor model spread on cloud cover or isolated showers, plus uncertainty in how precisely the official recording station captures the daily peak, keeps the distribution centered on these three bins while limiting support for extremes below 31 °C or above 34 °C. Updated HKO forecasts and any late convective development remain the key near-term variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日の香港の最高気温は?
33°C 42%
32°C 27%
34°C 23%
35°C 5%
$67,777 Vol.
$67,777 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
27%
33°C
42%
34°C
23%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 27%
34°C 23%
35°C 5%
$67,777 Vol.
$67,777 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
27%
33°C
42%
34°C
23%
35°C
5%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a maximum of 32–33 °C for August 6 under continued subtropical high pressure, light winds, and strong solar heating, with urban areas slightly cooler than the New Territories owing to the heat-island effect. This consensus, combined with August climatology showing typical daily highs near 31–33 °C and seasonal forecasts calling for normal-to-above-normal temperatures, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (44.5 %) and adjacent outcomes at 32 °C and 34 °C. Minor model spread on cloud cover or isolated showers, plus uncertainty in how precisely the official recording station captures the daily peak, keeps the distribution centered on these three bins while limiting support for extremes below 31 °C or above 34 °C. Updated HKO forecasts and any late convective development remain the key near-term variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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