Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting model consensus indicate Seoul and Incheon will reach a daytime maximum of 34°C on August 5 under persistent high-pressure conditions and typical summer heat and humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, where daily highs commonly fall in the 31–35°C range, and current observations show temperatures climbing steadily without signs of rapid cooling or intensification. The 98% market-implied probability for 34°C reflects strong trader confidence in these verified data, though modest uncertainty remains from possible micro-scale variations at the Incheon station or minor forecast adjustments if unexpected cloud cover or sea breezes develop before peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のソウル(仁川)の最高気温は?
34℃ 99%
35°C <1%
27℃以下 <1%
28℃ <1%
$86,878 Vol.
$86,878 Vol.
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
99%
35°C
1%
36℃
<1%
37℃以上
<1%
34℃ 99%
35°C <1%
27℃以下 <1%
28℃ <1%
$86,878 Vol.
$86,878 Vol.
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
99%
35°C
1%
36℃
<1%
37℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting model consensus indicate Seoul and Incheon will reach a daytime maximum of 34°C on August 5 under persistent high-pressure conditions and typical summer heat and humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for early August, where daily highs commonly fall in the 31–35°C range, and current observations show temperatures climbing steadily without signs of rapid cooling or intensification. The 98% market-implied probability for 34°C reflects strong trader confidence in these verified data, though modest uncertainty remains from possible micro-scale variations at the Incheon station or minor forecast adjustments if unexpected cloud cover or sea breezes develop before peak heating.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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