Recent model consensus and Météo-France guidance indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with clearer skies and lighter winds favoring enhanced radiational cooling overnight on August 6–7. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 12–14 °C in central Paris, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 12 °C (44.5 %) and 13 °C (25 %). Ensemble runs show modest spread around these values, with slightly cooler outcomes possible if cloud cover remains minimal or if northerly advection strengthens; conversely, any residual moisture or breeze could hold readings closer to 14–15 °C. Historical August minima average 14–16 °C, so the current positioning reflects traders weighting the fresh forecast signal over climatology while awaiting final 00–06 UTC observations on the 7th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のパリの最低気温は？
8月7日のパリの最低気温は？
12℃ 46%
13℃ 25%
11°C 16%
14℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
9°C以下
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
16%
12℃
46%
13℃
25%
14℃
11%
15℃
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃以上
<1%
12℃ 46%
13℃ 25%
11°C 16%
14℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
9°C以下
$116 Vol.
3%
10°C
$84 Vol.
5%
11°C
$99 Vol.
16%
12℃
$335 Vol.
46%
13℃
$160 Vol.
25%
14℃
$46 Vol.
11%
15℃
$183 Vol.
2%
16°C
$866 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$355 Vol.
<1%
19℃以上
$378 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and Météo-France guidance indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with clearer skies and lighter winds favoring enhanced radiational cooling overnight on August 6–7. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 12–14 °C in central Paris, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 12 °C (44.5 %) and 13 °C (25 %). Ensemble runs show modest spread around these values, with slightly cooler outcomes possible if cloud cover remains minimal or if northerly advection strengthens; conversely, any residual moisture or breeze could hold readings closer to 14–15 °C. Historical August minima average 14–16 °C, so the current positioning reflects traders weighting the fresh forecast signal over climatology while awaiting final 00–06 UTC observations on the 7th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$2,978終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and Météo-France guidance indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with clearer skies and lighter winds favoring enhanced radiational cooling overnight on August 6–7. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 12–14 °C in central Paris, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 12 °C (44.5 %) and 13 °C (25 %). Ensemble runs show modest spread around these values, with slightly cooler outcomes possible if cloud cover remains minimal or if northerly advection strengthens; conversely, any residual moisture or breeze could hold readings closer to 14–15 °C. Historical August minima average 14–16 °C, so the current positioning reflects traders weighting the fresh forecast signal over climatology while awaiting final 00–06 UTC observations on the 7th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,978終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus and Météo-France guidance indicate a post-heatwave cooldown across northern France, with clearer skies and lighter winds favoring enhanced radiational cooling overnight on August 6–7. This setup supports minimum temperatures near 12–14 °C in central Paris, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on 12 °C (44.5 %) and 13 °C (25 %). Ensemble runs show modest spread around these values, with slightly cooler outcomes possible if cloud cover remains minimal or if northerly advection strengthens; conversely, any residual moisture or breeze could hold readings closer to 14–15 °C. Historical August minima average 14–16 °C, so the current positioning reflects traders weighting the fresh forecast signal over climatology while awaiting final 00–06 UTC observations on the 7th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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