Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 5 point to a maximum near 83°F at LaGuardia Airport under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, driving the tight clustering around the 82–83°F (40.5%) and 84–85°F (31%) bins. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any convective cooling, and urban heat-island modulation, while sea-breeze effects and Atlantic ridge positioning limit upside risk above 87°F. Traders weigh these variables against climatological August normals near 84°F, with resolution hinging on the official daily high once final observations are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 37%
80-81°F 12%
86-87°F 11%
$39,308 Vol.
$39,308 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 37%
80-81°F 12%
86-87°F 11%
$39,308 Vol.
$39,308 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for August 5 point to a maximum near 83°F at LaGuardia Airport under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible, driving the tight clustering around the 82–83°F (40.5%) and 84–85°F (31%) bins. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture, timing of any convective cooling, and urban heat-island modulation, while sea-breeze effects and Atlantic ridge positioning limit upside risk above 87°F. Traders weigh these variables against climatological August normals near 84°F, with resolution hinging on the official daily high once final observations are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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