Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA indicate daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C across the first half of August under drier-than-normal conditions and fair skies, exceeding the long-term August average high near 31°C. Current model consensus and regional observations support a peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with light winds, high solar insolation near the equator, and limited afternoon convection limiting further warming. These factors concentrate trader-implied probability on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, reflecting both climatological baselines and the absence of extreme heat signals in the latest guidance. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at primary stations, with minimal chance of outliers given stable atmospheric patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
32°C 69%
33°C 32%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$30,810 Vol.
$30,810 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
69%
33°C
32%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 69%
33°C 32%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$30,810 Vol.
$30,810 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
69%
33°C
32%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA indicate daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C across the first half of August under drier-than-normal conditions and fair skies, exceeding the long-term August average high near 31°C. Current model consensus and regional observations support a peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with light winds, high solar insolation near the equator, and limited afternoon convection limiting further warming. These factors concentrate trader-implied probability on 32°C and 33°C outcomes, reflecting both climatological baselines and the absence of extreme heat signals in the latest guidance. Resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at primary stations, with minimal chance of outliers given stable atmospheric patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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