Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 7 most likely falling between 26°C and 27°C, underpinning the near-even market split on those outcomes. Differentiating factors include overnight cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, southerly flow patterns moderating urban heat island effects, and humidity levels influencing dew point suppression. Historical August baselines hover near 25–26°C, yet current model consensus reflects subtle warming from persistent high pressure. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and refined ensemble runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の東京の最低気温は？
8月7日の東京の最低気温は？
27°C 48%
26°C 39%
24℃ 6%
25℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
22°C以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24℃
6%
25℃
5%
26°C
39%
27°C
48%
28℃
5%
29℃
1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
27°C 48%
26°C 39%
24℃ 6%
25℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
22°C以下
$53 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$68 Vol.
1%
24℃
$58 Vol.
6%
25℃
$16 Vol.
5%
26°C
$152 Vol.
39%
27°C
$162 Vol.
48%
28℃
$11 Vol.
5%
29℃
$123 Vol.
1%
30℃
$110 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$63 Vol.
<1%
32°C以上
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 7 most likely falling between 26°C and 27°C, underpinning the near-even market split on those outcomes. Differentiating factors include overnight cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, southerly flow patterns moderating urban heat island effects, and humidity levels influencing dew point suppression. Historical August baselines hover near 25–26°C, yet current model consensus reflects subtle warming from persistent high pressure. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and refined ensemble runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$843終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 7 most likely falling between 26°C and 27°C, underpinning the near-even market split on those outcomes. Differentiating factors include overnight cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, southerly flow patterns moderating urban heat island effects, and humidity levels influencing dew point suppression. Historical August baselines hover near 25–26°C, yet current model consensus reflects subtle warming from persistent high pressure. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and refined ensemble runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$843終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 7 most likely falling between 26°C and 27°C, underpinning the near-even market split on those outcomes. Differentiating factors include overnight cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, southerly flow patterns moderating urban heat island effects, and humidity levels influencing dew point suppression. Historical August baselines hover near 25–26°C, yet current model consensus reflects subtle warming from persistent high pressure. Updated Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and refined ensemble runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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