Forecast models and observational data from meteorological services indicate a typical early-August pattern for Istanbul, with daytime highs stabilized near seasonal averages of 28–29°C under moderate high-pressure influence and Bosphorus sea breezes that limit extreme warming. Recent runs show minimal deviation from climatology, with light winds and mostly clear skies supporting peak readings in this narrow range rather than pushing toward 30°C or higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 29°C aligns with this evidence-based outlook, while the 31.5% on 28°C captures residual uncertainty in localized urban heat effects or minor forecast adjustments expected in final updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
8月5日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
29℃ 48%
28°C 42%
30℃ 10%
27℃ 3%
$28,117 Vol.
$28,117 Vol.
2026/08/05
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
3%
28°C
42%
29℃
48%
30℃
10%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
29℃ 48%
28°C 42%
30℃ 10%
27℃ 3%
$28,117 Vol.
$28,117 Vol.
2026/08/05
24℃以下
$443 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$447 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$2,360 Vol.
3%
28°C
$5,797 Vol.
42%
29℃
$3,769 Vol.
48%
30℃
$3,225 Vol.
10%
31°C
$3,172 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$2,658 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,270 Vol.
<1%
34℃以上
$2,741 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from meteorological services indicate a typical early-August pattern for Istanbul, with daytime highs stabilized near seasonal averages of 28–29°C under moderate high-pressure influence and Bosphorus sea breezes that limit extreme warming. Recent runs show minimal deviation from climatology, with light winds and mostly clear skies supporting peak readings in this narrow range rather than pushing toward 30°C or higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 29°C aligns with this evidence-based outlook, while the 31.5% on 28°C captures residual uncertainty in localized urban heat effects or minor forecast adjustments expected in final updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$28,117終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from meteorological services indicate a typical early-August pattern for Istanbul, with daytime highs stabilized near seasonal averages of 28–29°C under moderate high-pressure influence and Bosphorus sea breezes that limit extreme warming. Recent runs show minimal deviation from climatology, with light winds and mostly clear skies supporting peak readings in this narrow range rather than pushing toward 30°C or higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 29°C aligns with this evidence-based outlook, while the 31.5% on 28°C captures residual uncertainty in localized urban heat effects or minor forecast adjustments expected in final updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$28,117終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data from meteorological services indicate a typical early-August pattern for Istanbul, with daytime highs stabilized near seasonal averages of 28–29°C under moderate high-pressure influence and Bosphorus sea breezes that limit extreme warming. Recent runs show minimal deviation from climatology, with light winds and mostly clear skies supporting peak readings in this narrow range rather than pushing toward 30°C or higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 56.5% implied probability for 29°C aligns with this evidence-based outlook, while the 31.5% on 28°C captures residual uncertainty in localized urban heat effects or minor forecast adjustments expected in final updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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