Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 7 show daytime highs clustering around 30–34°C under humid, convective summer conditions typical of the Sichuan basin. Official and ensemble models highlight moderate instability from monsoon moisture and potential scattered showers, which can suppress peak temperatures through cloud cover or enhance them via localized heating. Trader consensus on 31–33°C reflects this narrow range amid ongoing variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, with historical August baselines near 32°C providing context. Short-term model updates and any shifts in subtropical ridge strength remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の成都の最高気温は?
32°C 24%
33℃ 21%
31°C 17%
34°C 12%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
2%
28°C
3%
29℃
4%
30℃
8%
31°C
17%
32°C
24%
33℃
21%
34°C
12%
35℃以上
12%
32°C 24%
33℃ 21%
31°C 17%
34°C 12%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
2%
28°C
3%
29℃
4%
30℃
8%
31°C
17%
32°C
24%
33℃
21%
34°C
12%
35℃以上
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Chengdu on August 7 show daytime highs clustering around 30–34°C under humid, convective summer conditions typical of the Sichuan basin. Official and ensemble models highlight moderate instability from monsoon moisture and potential scattered showers, which can suppress peak temperatures through cloud cover or enhance them via localized heating. Trader consensus on 31–33°C reflects this narrow range amid ongoing variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, with historical August baselines near 32°C providing context. Short-term model updates and any shifts in subtropical ridge strength remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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