Recent numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and European ensembles show Paris maximum temperatures on August 5 settling near 28–29 °C under clear, dry anticyclonic conditions with light southwesterly flow. These outcomes dominate trader sentiment because surface observations and model consensus indicate ample solar insolation without significant cloud cover or frontal cooling, while historical August climatology for the Paris basin supports highs in this narrow band. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps 27 °C and 30 °C as low-probability tails, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France daily maximum recorded at the Parc Saint-Cloud station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のパリの最高気温は?
28℃ 43%
29°C 43%
27°C 10%
30℃ 6.0%
$85,322 Vol.
$85,322 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
10%
28℃
43%
29°C
43%
30℃
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
28℃ 43%
29°C 43%
27°C 10%
30℃ 6.0%
$85,322 Vol.
$85,322 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
10%
28℃
43%
29°C
43%
30℃
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from Météo-France and European ensembles show Paris maximum temperatures on August 5 settling near 28–29 °C under clear, dry anticyclonic conditions with light southwesterly flow. These outcomes dominate trader sentiment because surface observations and model consensus indicate ample solar insolation without significant cloud cover or frontal cooling, while historical August climatology for the Paris basin supports highs in this narrow band. Minor model spread around boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects keeps 27 °C and 30 °C as low-probability tails, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France daily maximum recorded at the Parc Saint-Cloud station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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