Météo-France forecasts point to a high of 26°C in Paris on August 6 under largely sunny skies and a cooling trend following warmer conditions on August 5. This aligns with the market's concentration on 25°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus on modest daytime warming amid typical early-August atmospheric patterns. Historical averages near 25°C and the absence of strong southerly flow or high-pressure ridges that could drive further intensification support the tight clustering around these values, with limited probability mass on extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine the exact peak and any minor convective influences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のパリの最高気温は?
25°C 51%
26°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
51%
26°C
36%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 36%
27°C 9%
24°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
51%
26°C
36%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Météo-France forecasts point to a high of 26°C in Paris on August 6 under largely sunny skies and a cooling trend following warmer conditions on August 5. This aligns with the market's concentration on 25°C and 26°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus on modest daytime warming amid typical early-August atmospheric patterns. Historical averages near 25°C and the absence of strong southerly flow or high-pressure ridges that could drive further intensification support the tight clustering around these values, with limited probability mass on extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine the exact peak and any minor convective influences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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