Current forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high near 31–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity, southeasterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Official guidance shows scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, which would cap afternoon peaks and explain the strong market weighting toward 32°C at 64.5% implied probability versus 33°C at 35.5%. Recent model runs and hourly observations align with climatological August averages of 32°C, with minimal deviation expected absent a clear-air surge. Traders are monitoring real-time updates from Shenzhen’s meteorological bureau for any late-day revisions before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の深センの最高気温は?
32°C 88%
34°C 5%
33°C 5%
35°C <1%
$89,052 Vol.
$89,052 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
88%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 88%
34°C 5%
33°C 5%
35°C <1%
$89,052 Vol.
$89,052 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
88%
33°C
5%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime high near 31–33°C for Shenzhen on August 5, 2026, driven by typical subtropical summer conditions with moderate humidity, southeasterly flow, and partial cloud cover that limits extreme heating. Official guidance shows scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, which would cap afternoon peaks and explain the strong market weighting toward 32°C at 64.5% implied probability versus 33°C at 35.5%. Recent model runs and hourly observations align with climatological August averages of 32°C, with minimal deviation expected absent a clear-air surge. Traders are monitoring real-time updates from Shenzhen’s meteorological bureau for any late-day revisions before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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