Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Chengdu highs near 93–96°F (34–36°C) on August 5 amid typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions, where topographic trapping of heat and high humidity sustain elevated temperatures despite scattered thunderstorms. Model runs show limited cooling from brief showers, aligning with historical August averages of 30–35°C and supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 34°C or higher outcomes. Trader consensus reflects these data, with implied probabilities concentrated above 33°C as new model updates confirm persistent warmth rather than significant drops.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の成都の最高気温は?
35°C or higher 62%
34°C 31%
33°C 10%
32°C <1%
$26,698 Vol.
$26,698 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
62%
35°C or higher 62%
34°C 31%
33°C 10%
32°C <1%
$26,698 Vol.
$26,698 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
62%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Chengdu highs near 93–96°F (34–36°C) on August 5 amid typical Sichuan Basin summer conditions, where topographic trapping of heat and high humidity sustain elevated temperatures despite scattered thunderstorms. Model runs show limited cooling from brief showers, aligning with historical August averages of 30–35°C and supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 34°C or higher outcomes. Trader consensus reflects these data, with implied probabilities concentrated above 33°C as new model updates confirm persistent warmth rather than significant drops.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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