Recent monsoon activity from the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, combined with lingering cloud cover and humidity, is moderating daytime heating and positioning 32–33°C as the leading outcomes for Karachi’s August 6 maximum, consistent with Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Model consensus favors partly cloudy conditions that limit intensification above these levels, while historical August climatology shows highs rarely exceeding 34°C under similar weak-to-moderate monsoon patterns. Updated short-range forecasts from official sources will refine probabilities ahead of resolution, with any stronger westerly influence or clearer skies representing the main variables that could shift the distribution toward 34°C or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のカラチの最高気温は?
33℃ 45%
32°C 31%
34°C 19%
31℃ 5%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
2%
31℃
5%
32°C
31%
33℃
45%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36℃
1%
37°C以上
1%
33℃ 45%
32°C 31%
34°C 19%
31℃ 5%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
2%
31℃
5%
32°C
31%
33℃
45%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36℃
1%
37°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent monsoon activity from the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, combined with lingering cloud cover and humidity, is moderating daytime heating and positioning 32–33°C as the leading outcomes for Karachi’s August 6 maximum, consistent with Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Model consensus favors partly cloudy conditions that limit intensification above these levels, while historical August climatology shows highs rarely exceeding 34°C under similar weak-to-moderate monsoon patterns. Updated short-range forecasts from official sources will refine probabilities ahead of resolution, with any stronger westerly influence or clearer skies representing the main variables that could shift the distribution toward 34°C or higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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