Recent forecasts from major models indicate a likely maximum temperature of 26–28°C in São Paulo on August 6, positioning 27°C as the market leader amid above-average seasonal warmth across southeastern Brazil. This reflects persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced cloud cover that favor daytime heating, with historical August climatology centering on 23–25°C highs providing context for the elevated outlook. Model consensus supports limited upward potential beyond 29°C due to moderating southerly flow, while downward revisions remain possible if overnight cooling or brief showers develop. Traders are monitoring the final National Meteorological Institute updates and ensemble runs for any shifts in boundary-layer conditions before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
27°C 38%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
29°C 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
38%
28°C
24%
29°C
14%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 24%
26°C 18%
29°C 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
38%
28°C
24%
29°C
14%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from major models indicate a likely maximum temperature of 26–28°C in São Paulo on August 6, positioning 27°C as the market leader amid above-average seasonal warmth across southeastern Brazil. This reflects persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced cloud cover that favor daytime heating, with historical August climatology centering on 23–25°C highs providing context for the elevated outlook. Model consensus supports limited upward potential beyond 29°C due to moderating southerly flow, while downward revisions remain possible if overnight cooling or brief showers develop. Traders are monitoring the final National Meteorological Institute updates and ensemble runs for any shifts in boundary-layer conditions before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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