Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance, aligned with climatological norms, places Houston’s typical August 6 high near 94–95 °F, the month’s peak average. Current model consensus shows a weakening upper ridge after early-August heat, favoring mid- to upper-90s readings with a moderating sea breeze and high humidity rather than triple-digit extremes. Historical data confirm 94–95 °F as the most frequent outcome on this date, while 96–97 °F remains plausible under slightly drier inland flow. Traders have priced these two bins highest because ensemble runs show limited downside risk below 93 °F and only modest upside above 98 °F before the next frontal influence arrives. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow will refine the final range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
94~95°F 46%
96〜97°F 34%
92~93°F 12%
98~99°F 4%
華氏85度以下
<1%
86~87°F
1%
88〜89°F
1%
90〜91°F
4%
92~93°F
12%
94~95°F
46%
96〜97°F
34%
98~99°F
4%
100〜101°F
<1%
102〜103°F
<1%
104°F以上
<1%
94~95°F 46%
96〜97°F 34%
92~93°F 12%
98~99°F 4%
華氏85度以下
<1%
86~87°F
1%
88〜89°F
1%
90〜91°F
4%
92~93°F
12%
94~95°F
46%
96〜97°F
34%
98~99°F
4%
100〜101°F
<1%
102〜103°F
<1%
104°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance, aligned with climatological norms, places Houston’s typical August 6 high near 94–95 °F, the month’s peak average. Current model consensus shows a weakening upper ridge after early-August heat, favoring mid- to upper-90s readings with a moderating sea breeze and high humidity rather than triple-digit extremes. Historical data confirm 94–95 °F as the most frequent outcome on this date, while 96–97 °F remains plausible under slightly drier inland flow. Traders have priced these two bins highest because ensemble runs show limited downside risk below 93 °F and only modest upside above 98 °F before the next frontal influence arrives. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow will refine the final range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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