Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on August 5 centers on a daily high near 94–97°F at key stations such as Hobby Airport, driven by typical late-summer ridging, strong solar insolation, and light winds that limit mixing. This aligns with the August climatological average high of 94–95°F and recent monthly outlooks showing limited deviation from norms absent tropical moisture or stronger onshore flow. Trader positioning heavily favors the 96–97°F bin at 56% implied probability, with 94–95°F next at 34.5%, reflecting the narrow range of ensemble outputs and low odds of extremes given stable steering patterns. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute model adjustments will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
96〜97°F 56%
94〜95°F 33%
92〜93°F 8%
98〜99°F 5%
$13,405 Vol.
$13,405 Vol.
87°F以下
<1%
88~89°F
<1%
90~91°F
1%
92〜93°F
8%
94〜95°F
33%
96〜97°F
56%
98〜99°F
5%
100〜101°F
1%
102〜103°F
<1%
104〜105°F
<1%
華氏106度以上
<1%
96〜97°F 56%
94〜95°F 33%
92〜93°F 8%
98〜99°F 5%
$13,405 Vol.
$13,405 Vol.
87°F以下
<1%
88~89°F
<1%
90~91°F
1%
92〜93°F
8%
94〜95°F
33%
96〜97°F
56%
98〜99°F
5%
100〜101°F
1%
102〜103°F
<1%
104〜105°F
<1%
華氏106度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on August 5 centers on a daily high near 94–97°F at key stations such as Hobby Airport, driven by typical late-summer ridging, strong solar insolation, and light winds that limit mixing. This aligns with the August climatological average high of 94–95°F and recent monthly outlooks showing limited deviation from norms absent tropical moisture or stronger onshore flow. Trader positioning heavily favors the 96–97°F bin at 56% implied probability, with 94–95°F next at 34.5%, reflecting the narrow range of ensemble outputs and low odds of extremes given stable steering patterns. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute model adjustments will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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