Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Wuhan maxima near 35–36°C on August 5 amid typical midsummer subtropical conditions, with high humidity, light winds, and potential thundery showers that could cap afternoon heating. This supports the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C, as small differences in cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, or urban heat-island effects can shift the observed peak across these thresholds. Historical August climatology shows frequent 35–38°C readings, while the tight spread reflects limited model divergence and the market’s resolution on official station data expected within hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の武漢の最高気温は?
36°C 45%
37°C 40%
38°C 11%
35°C 6%
$14,424 Vol.
$14,424 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
45%
37°C
40%
38°C
11%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
37°C 40%
38°C 11%
35°C 6%
$14,424 Vol.
$14,424 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
45%
37°C
40%
38°C
11%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Wuhan maxima near 35–36°C on August 5 amid typical midsummer subtropical conditions, with high humidity, light winds, and potential thundery showers that could cap afternoon heating. This supports the near-even market split between 36°C and 37°C, as small differences in cloud cover, timing of any precipitation, or urban heat-island effects can shift the observed peak across these thresholds. Historical August climatology shows frequent 35–38°C readings, while the tight spread reflects limited model divergence and the market’s resolution on official station data expected within hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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