Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 6 near 32–33 °C under a warm southerly flow and weak high-pressure influence, with limited cloud cover initially allowing strong daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from the timing and intensity of possible afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap peaks if they develop earlier than expected, and from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average around 26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly; traders weigh these factors against official station criteria at the Chopin Airport site when assigning highest implied probability to the narrow 32–33 °C band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月6日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
33℃ 35%
32°C 31%
31℃ 14%
34°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
29℃以下
2%
30℃
3%
31℃
14%
32°C
31%
33℃
35%
34°C
14%
35℃
5%
36℃
1%
37℃
<1%
38℃
<1%
39℃以上
<1%
33℃ 35%
32°C 31%
31℃ 14%
34°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
29℃以下
$641 Vol.
2%
30℃
$278 Vol.
3%
31℃
$998 Vol.
14%
32°C
$443 Vol.
31%
33℃
$3,215 Vol.
35%
34°C
$932 Vol.
14%
35℃
$800 Vol.
5%
36℃
$98 Vol.
1%
37℃
$279 Vol.
<1%
38℃
$179 Vol.
<1%
39℃以上
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 6 near 32–33 °C under a warm southerly flow and weak high-pressure influence, with limited cloud cover initially allowing strong daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from the timing and intensity of possible afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap peaks if they develop earlier than expected, and from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average around 26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly; traders weigh these factors against official station criteria at the Chopin Airport site when assigning highest implied probability to the narrow 32–33 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$8,217終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 6 near 32–33 °C under a warm southerly flow and weak high-pressure influence, with limited cloud cover initially allowing strong daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from the timing and intensity of possible afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap peaks if they develop earlier than expected, and from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average around 26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly; traders weigh these factors against official station criteria at the Chopin Airport site when assigning highest implied probability to the narrow 32–33 °C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,217終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from sources such as ECMWF and GFS place Warsaw’s maximum temperature on August 6 near 32–33 °C under a warm southerly flow and weak high-pressure influence, with limited cloud cover initially allowing strong daytime heating. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from the timing and intensity of possible afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap peaks if they develop earlier than expected, and from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average around 26 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest heat anomaly; traders weigh these factors against official station criteria at the Chopin Airport site when assigning highest implied probability to the narrow 32–33 °C band.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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