Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 28°C in London on August 4 under increasingly unsettled conditions, with a shift toward warmer, humid air and a rising chance of showers that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this value because subtle differences in cloud timing, wind direction, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 28°C and 29°C as the resolution hinges on whether clearer breaks allow temperatures to edge higher or scattered convection caps them near the forecast maximum. Updated model runs and official briefings through the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of the market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のロンドンの最高気温は？
8月4日のロンドンの最高気温は？
28°C 32%
29°C 29%
27°C 23%
26°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
25°C or below
3%
26°C
14%
27°C
23%
28°C
32%
29°C
29%
30°C
10%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 32%
29°C 29%
27°C 23%
26°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
25°C or below
$10 Vol.
3%
26°C
$1 Vol.
14%
27°C
$42 Vol.
23%
28°C
$55 Vol.
32%
29°C
$52 Vol.
29%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
8%
32°C
$10 Vol.
2%
33°C
$20 Vol.
2%
34°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 28°C in London on August 4 under increasingly unsettled conditions, with a shift toward warmer, humid air and a rising chance of showers that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this value because subtle differences in cloud timing, wind direction, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 28°C and 29°C as the resolution hinges on whether clearer breaks allow temperatures to edge higher or scattered convection caps them near the forecast maximum. Updated model runs and official briefings through the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$200終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 28°C in London on August 4 under increasingly unsettled conditions, with a shift toward warmer, humid air and a rising chance of showers that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this value because subtle differences in cloud timing, wind direction, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 28°C and 29°C as the resolution hinges on whether clearer breaks allow temperatures to edge higher or scattered convection caps them near the forecast maximum. Updated model runs and official briefings through the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$200終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 28°C in London on August 4 under increasingly unsettled conditions, with a shift toward warmer, humid air and a rising chance of showers that could limit afternoon heating. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this value because subtle differences in cloud timing, wind direction, and boundary-layer moisture can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 28°C and 29°C as the resolution hinges on whether clearer breaks allow temperatures to edge higher or scattered convection caps them near the forecast maximum. Updated model runs and official briefings through the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of the market close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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