Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 4 projects a daytime high near 28°C followed by an overnight low of 19°C under mostly clear conditions, anchoring trader focus on the 19–21°C outcomes. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight, with lighter winds favoring slightly warmer minima around 20–21°C in some solutions. This aligns with the broader warm anomaly persisting across southern England, where summer temperatures have run 1.8–2.4°C above the 1991–2020 baseline. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at representative stations, and fresh model guidance expected within 48 hours could shift implied probabilities before the period closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のロンドンの最低気温は？
8月4日のロンドンの最低気温は？
21°C 40%
20°C 38%
19°C 16%
22°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
15°C or below
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
16%
20°C
38%
21°C
40%
22°C
10%
23°C
9%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 40%
20°C 38%
19°C 16%
22°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
15°C or below
$20 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
5%
17°C
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$0 Vol.
16%
20°C
$2 Vol.
38%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
10%
23°C
$45 Vol.
9%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 4 projects a daytime high near 28°C followed by an overnight low of 19°C under mostly clear conditions, anchoring trader focus on the 19–21°C outcomes. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight, with lighter winds favoring slightly warmer minima around 20–21°C in some solutions. This aligns with the broader warm anomaly persisting across southern England, where summer temperatures have run 1.8–2.4°C above the 1991–2020 baseline. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at representative stations, and fresh model guidance expected within 48 hours could shift implied probabilities before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$97終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 4 projects a daytime high near 28°C followed by an overnight low of 19°C under mostly clear conditions, anchoring trader focus on the 19–21°C outcomes. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight, with lighter winds favoring slightly warmer minima around 20–21°C in some solutions. This aligns with the broader warm anomaly persisting across southern England, where summer temperatures have run 1.8–2.4°C above the 1991–2020 baseline. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at representative stations, and fresh model guidance expected within 48 hours could shift implied probabilities before the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$97終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance for London on August 4 projects a daytime high near 28°C followed by an overnight low of 19°C under mostly clear conditions, anchoring trader focus on the 19–21°C outcomes. Ensemble model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover overnight, with lighter winds favoring slightly warmer minima around 20–21°C in some solutions. This aligns with the broader warm anomaly persisting across southern England, where summer temperatures have run 1.8–2.4°C above the 1991–2020 baseline. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at representative stations, and fresh model guidance expected within 48 hours could shift implied probabilities before the period closes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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