Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance points to a moderating influence from an approaching upper-level trough and associated cloud cover with thunderstorm potential, capping Toronto's August 2 high near 22–24 °C rather than the seasonal 26 °C average. This setup favors the market's leading 24 °C outcome at 34.5 % implied probability, as modest onshore flow from Lake Ontario and widespread stratiform clouds limit daytime heating while still allowing brief sun breaks. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with only small differences in timing of precipitation onset or boundary-layer moisture explaining the close clustering of 23 °C and 22 °C contracts; any delayed clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 25 °C. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月2日のトロントの最高気温は？
8月2日のトロントの最高気温は？
24°C 34%
23°C 26%
22°C 22%
25°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
22%
23°C
26%
24°C
34%
25°C
17%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 34%
23°C 26%
22°C 22%
25°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/08/02
20°C or below
$286 Vol.
1%
21°C
$427 Vol.
4%
22°C
$3,490 Vol.
22%
23°C
$473 Vol.
26%
24°C
$1,087 Vol.
34%
25°C
$830 Vol.
17%
26°C
$292 Vol.
2%
27°C
$246 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$191 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance points to a moderating influence from an approaching upper-level trough and associated cloud cover with thunderstorm potential, capping Toronto's August 2 high near 22–24 °C rather than the seasonal 26 °C average. This setup favors the market's leading 24 °C outcome at 34.5 % implied probability, as modest onshore flow from Lake Ontario and widespread stratiform clouds limit daytime heating while still allowing brief sun breaks. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with only small differences in timing of precipitation onset or boundary-layer moisture explaining the close clustering of 23 °C and 22 °C contracts; any delayed clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 25 °C. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$7,897終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance points to a moderating influence from an approaching upper-level trough and associated cloud cover with thunderstorm potential, capping Toronto's August 2 high near 22–24 °C rather than the seasonal 26 °C average. This setup favors the market's leading 24 °C outcome at 34.5 % implied probability, as modest onshore flow from Lake Ontario and widespread stratiform clouds limit daytime heating while still allowing brief sun breaks. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with only small differences in timing of precipitation onset or boundary-layer moisture explaining the close clustering of 23 °C and 22 °C contracts; any delayed clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 25 °C. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,897終了日
2026/08/02マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent model consensus from Environment Canada and NOAA guidance points to a moderating influence from an approaching upper-level trough and associated cloud cover with thunderstorm potential, capping Toronto's August 2 high near 22–24 °C rather than the seasonal 26 °C average. This setup favors the market's leading 24 °C outcome at 34.5 % implied probability, as modest onshore flow from Lake Ontario and widespread stratiform clouds limit daytime heating while still allowing brief sun breaks. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with only small differences in timing of precipitation onset or boundary-layer moisture explaining the close clustering of 23 °C and 22 °C contracts; any delayed clearing or stronger insolation could push readings to 25 °C. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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