Recent NCM guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum near 37°C in Jeddah on August 4, driven by typical Red Sea moisture and light northwesterly flow that limits extreme heat buildup. Seasonal outlooks showing 1–2 °C above the 1991–2020 August baseline add modest upward pressure, keeping the 38–40 °C range in play if subsidence strengthens or cloud cover decreases. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and high humidity often cap peaks below interior values, creating the tight clustering around 37–39 °C. Updated model runs and NCM’s next 3–5 day bulletin are the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のジェッダの最高気温は?
40℃以上 36%
38°C 27%
39℃ 20%
37℃ 19%
30°C以下
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
2%
36℃
7%
37℃
19%
38°C
27%
39℃
20%
40℃以上
36%
40℃以上 36%
38°C 27%
39℃ 20%
37℃ 19%
30°C以下
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃
2%
36℃
7%
37℃
19%
38°C
27%
39℃
20%
40℃以上
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent NCM guidance and ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum near 37°C in Jeddah on August 4, driven by typical Red Sea moisture and light northwesterly flow that limits extreme heat buildup. Seasonal outlooks showing 1–2 °C above the 1991–2020 August baseline add modest upward pressure, keeping the 38–40 °C range in play if subsidence strengthens or cloud cover decreases. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and high humidity often cap peaks below interior values, creating the tight clustering around 37–39 °C. Updated model runs and NCM’s next 3–5 day bulletin are the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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