Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show peak surface temperatures in Milan on August 6 clustering around 36–37 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge, producing light winds and clear skies that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects from the Po Valley’s concrete and asphalt, and small timing shifts in the diurnal temperature curve explain why 36 °C and 37 °C currently dominate trader consensus while 38 °C remains a low-probability outlier. Updated model runs and observational verification tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のミラノの最高気温は?
37°C 49%
36°C 41%
38°C 8%
35°C 4%
$12,117 Vol.
$12,117 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
41%
37°C
49%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C以上
<1%
37°C 49%
36°C 41%
38°C 8%
35°C 4%
$12,117 Vol.
$12,117 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
41%
37°C
49%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show peak surface temperatures in Milan on August 6 clustering around 36–37 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge, producing light winds and clear skies that limit mixing and enhance daytime heating. Subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects from the Po Valley’s concrete and asphalt, and small timing shifts in the diurnal temperature curve explain why 36 °C and 37 °C currently dominate trader consensus while 38 °C remains a low-probability outlier. Updated model runs and observational verification tomorrow morning will refine the final maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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