Recent forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather project a daytime maximum of 37°C for Milan on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light south-westerly winds that favor strong solar heating and subsidence warming across the Po Valley. These conditions align with typical late-summer heat patterns, pushing the market-implied probability highest for 36°C (51%) and 37°C (36.5%). Official agencies note limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk, though minor forecast revisions on wind or cloud cover could shift the exact peak. Traders have adjusted positions toward these outcomes as updated guidance reinforces temperatures near the upper end of the seasonal average.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のミラノの最高気温は?
36°C 51%
37°C 38%
35°C 9%
38°C 5%
$21,902 Vol.
$21,902 Vol.
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
51%
37°C
38%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 51%
37°C 38%
35°C 9%
38°C 5%
$21,902 Vol.
$21,902 Vol.
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
51%
37°C
38%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather project a daytime maximum of 37°C for Milan on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light south-westerly winds that favor strong solar heating and subsidence warming across the Po Valley. These conditions align with typical late-summer heat patterns, pushing the market-implied probability highest for 36°C (51%) and 37°C (36.5%). Official agencies note limited model spread and minimal precipitation risk, though minor forecast revisions on wind or cloud cover could shift the exact peak. Traders have adjusted positions toward these outcomes as updated guidance reinforces temperatures near the upper end of the seasonal average.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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