Current meteorological guidance for Mexico City indicates peak temperatures on August 5 most likely near 26°C, reflecting the city's high-elevation basin location and typical August climatology of moderated highs around 24–26°C. Official forecasts from regional models emphasize stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover, reducing the chance of exceeding 27°C. Historical data show August maxima rarely surpass 28°C without strong high-pressure systems or clear skies, aligning with the market's heavier weighting toward the 26–27°C range. Short-term model updates through the next 24 hours will refine land-surface and radiation parameters that directly influence the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
26°C 49%
27°C 34%
28°C 8%
25°C 7%
23℃以下
1%
24℃
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
34%
28°C
8%
29℃
1%
30℃
1%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 34%
28°C 8%
25°C 7%
23℃以下
1%
24℃
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
34%
28°C
8%
29℃
1%
30℃
1%
31°C
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological guidance for Mexico City indicates peak temperatures on August 5 most likely near 26°C, reflecting the city's high-elevation basin location and typical August climatology of moderated highs around 24–26°C. Official forecasts from regional models emphasize stable atmospheric conditions, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating from partial cloud cover, reducing the chance of exceeding 27°C. Historical data show August maxima rarely surpass 28°C without strong high-pressure systems or clear skies, aligning with the market's heavier weighting toward the 26–27°C range. Short-term model updates through the next 24 hours will refine land-surface and radiation parameters that directly influence the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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