Trader consensus centers on 27–28°C as the likely overnight low for Shanghai on August 6, reflecting model consensus from recent ECMWF and GFS runs projecting minimal cooling under persistent subtropical high pressure and above-normal regional temperatures. Early August climatology shows typical minimums of 25–27°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, but current departures of roughly +1.4°C from the 28.5°C monthly mean have shifted probabilities upward. Limited diurnal temperature range due to cloud cover and moisture further supports this band over cooler outliers. Short-term forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles remain the key variables that could adjust implied odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日の上海の最低気温は？
8月6日の上海の最低気温は？
28℃ 47%
27°C 27%
29°C 17%
26°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
22°C以下
1%
23℃
1%
24°C
1%
25℃
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
27%
28℃
47%
29°C
17%
30℃
1%
31℃
1%
32℃以上
1%
28℃ 47%
27°C 27%
29°C 17%
26°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
22°C以下
$11 Vol.
1%
23℃
$16 Vol.
1%
24°C
$57 Vol.
1%
25℃
$18 Vol.
2%
26°C
$22 Vol.
10%
27°C
$91 Vol.
27%
28℃
$298 Vol.
47%
29°C
$456 Vol.
17%
30℃
$57 Vol.
1%
31℃
$10 Vol.
1%
32℃以上
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 27–28°C as the likely overnight low for Shanghai on August 6, reflecting model consensus from recent ECMWF and GFS runs projecting minimal cooling under persistent subtropical high pressure and above-normal regional temperatures. Early August climatology shows typical minimums of 25–27°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, but current departures of roughly +1.4°C from the 28.5°C monthly mean have shifted probabilities upward. Limited diurnal temperature range due to cloud cover and moisture further supports this band over cooler outliers. Short-term forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles remain the key variables that could adjust implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$1,047終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 27–28°C as the likely overnight low for Shanghai on August 6, reflecting model consensus from recent ECMWF and GFS runs projecting minimal cooling under persistent subtropical high pressure and above-normal regional temperatures. Early August climatology shows typical minimums of 25–27°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, but current departures of roughly +1.4°C from the 28.5°C monthly mean have shifted probabilities upward. Limited diurnal temperature range due to cloud cover and moisture further supports this band over cooler outliers. Short-term forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles remain the key variables that could adjust implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,047終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus centers on 27–28°C as the likely overnight low for Shanghai on August 6, reflecting model consensus from recent ECMWF and GFS runs projecting minimal cooling under persistent subtropical high pressure and above-normal regional temperatures. Early August climatology shows typical minimums of 25–27°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, but current departures of roughly +1.4°C from the 28.5°C monthly mean have shifted probabilities upward. Limited diurnal temperature range due to cloud cover and moisture further supports this band over cooler outliers. Short-term forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles remain the key variables that could adjust implied odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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