Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Shanghai will experience an overnight low of 27°C on August 5, aligning with the market's 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover overnight have kept minimum temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–28°C, with recent observations showing early-August lows stabilizing around 26–27°C. Ensemble guidance shows strong consensus on minimal cooling overnight due to southerly flow and urban heat retention. A realistic shift below 27°C would require stronger-than-expected nocturnal radiational cooling or heavy rainfall introducing cooler air, though current model runs assign low probability to such changes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の上海の最低気温は？
8月5日の上海の最低気温は？
27°C 95%
26°C 3.4%
24℃ <1%
25℃ <1%
$32,566 Vol.
$32,566 Vol.
2026/08/05
22℃以下
1%
23℃
1%
24℃
1%
25℃
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
95%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
27°C 95%
26°C 3.4%
24℃ <1%
25℃ <1%
$32,566 Vol.
$32,566 Vol.
2026/08/05
22℃以下
$1,016 Vol.
1%
23℃
$1,672 Vol.
1%
24℃
$3,142 Vol.
1%
25℃
$2,750 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,865 Vol.
3%
27°C
$3,563 Vol.
95%
28℃
$3,577 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$9,246 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,871 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$512 Vol.
<1%
32°C以上
$2,353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Shanghai will experience an overnight low of 27°C on August 5, aligning with the market's 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover overnight have kept minimum temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–28°C, with recent observations showing early-August lows stabilizing around 26–27°C. Ensemble guidance shows strong consensus on minimal cooling overnight due to southerly flow and urban heat retention. A realistic shift below 27°C would require stronger-than-expected nocturnal radiational cooling or heavy rainfall introducing cooler air, though current model runs assign low probability to such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$32,566終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Shanghai will experience an overnight low of 27°C on August 5, aligning with the market's 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover overnight have kept minimum temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–28°C, with recent observations showing early-August lows stabilizing around 26–27°C. Ensemble guidance shows strong consensus on minimal cooling overnight due to southerly flow and urban heat retention. A realistic shift below 27°C would require stronger-than-expected nocturnal radiational cooling or heavy rainfall introducing cooler air, though current model runs assign low probability to such changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$32,566終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Shanghai will experience an overnight low of 27°C on August 5, aligning with the market's 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer warmth, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover overnight have kept minimum temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–28°C, with recent observations showing early-August lows stabilizing around 26–27°C. Ensemble guidance shows strong consensus on minimal cooling overnight due to southerly flow and urban heat retention. A realistic shift below 27°C would require stronger-than-expected nocturnal radiational cooling or heavy rainfall introducing cooler air, though current model runs assign low probability to such changes before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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