The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
26°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21℃ <1%
22°C <1%
$29,218 Vol.
$29,218 Vol.
20℃以下
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
はい
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C以上
いいえ
26°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21℃ <1%
22°C <1%
$29,218 Vol.
$29,218 Vol.
20℃以下
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24°C
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
はい
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問