Manila's peak temperature on August 5 is shaped by the southwest monsoon and typical wet-season conditions, which moderate daytime highs through increased cloud cover and rainfall. Official climatological data place August averages near 30–31 °C, yet recent model guidance from PAGASA and regional agencies points to slightly suppressed maxima around 29–30 °C due to persistent moisture and limited solar heating. Traders favor these outcomes because short-range ensemble forecasts show only modest variability in steering patterns or convective activity that could allow brief clearing and higher readings. Historical analogs confirm that organized monsoon bursts often cap extremes below seasonal peaks, while any delay in rain could shift probabilities modestly higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のマニラの最高気温は?
29℃ 51%
30°C 31%
28℃ 13%
31°C 8%
$12,898 Vol.
$12,898 Vol.
22°C以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
13%
29℃
51%
30°C
31%
31°C
8%
32℃以上
1%
29℃ 51%
30°C 31%
28℃ 13%
31°C 8%
$12,898 Vol.
$12,898 Vol.
22°C以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
13%
29℃
51%
30°C
31%
31°C
8%
32℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Manila's peak temperature on August 5 is shaped by the southwest monsoon and typical wet-season conditions, which moderate daytime highs through increased cloud cover and rainfall. Official climatological data place August averages near 30–31 °C, yet recent model guidance from PAGASA and regional agencies points to slightly suppressed maxima around 29–30 °C due to persistent moisture and limited solar heating. Traders favor these outcomes because short-range ensemble forecasts show only modest variability in steering patterns or convective activity that could allow brief clearing and higher readings. Historical analogs confirm that organized monsoon bursts often cap extremes below seasonal peaks, while any delay in rain could shift probabilities modestly higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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