**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on August 6 centers on active southwest monsoon conditions moderating daytime maxima around 29–31°C.** Frequent rainfall, extensive cloud cover, and elevated humidity suppress solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping peaks below the long-term August average of roughly 32–34°C. Recent IMD extended-range outlooks and local forecasts indicate ongoing monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh through early August, with light-to-moderate showers and overcast skies expected on the 5th–6th that align with observed recent highs near 29–30°C. These factors explain the market's concentration on 30°C (38.5%), 29°C (26.0%), and 31°C (20.5%), as traders weigh model consensus for limited intensification against the possibility of brief clear spells allowing a slight uptick. Historical monsoon climatology supports this range, with cloud-rain feedback typically capping extremes unless a temporary break in the monsoon occurs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のラクナウの最高気温は?
30°C 39%
29°C 26%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
$10,537 Vol.
$10,537 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
12%
29°C
26%
30°C
39%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
7%
30°C 39%
29°C 26%
31°C 21%
28°C 12%
$10,537 Vol.
$10,537 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
12%
29°C
26%
30°C
39%
31°C
21%
32°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's highest temperature on August 6 centers on active southwest monsoon conditions moderating daytime maxima around 29–31°C.** Frequent rainfall, extensive cloud cover, and elevated humidity suppress solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping peaks below the long-term August average of roughly 32–34°C. Recent IMD extended-range outlooks and local forecasts indicate ongoing monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh through early August, with light-to-moderate showers and overcast skies expected on the 5th–6th that align with observed recent highs near 29–30°C. These factors explain the market's concentration on 30°C (38.5%), 29°C (26.0%), and 31°C (20.5%), as traders weigh model consensus for limited intensification against the possibility of brief clear spells allowing a slight uptick. Historical monsoon climatology supports this range, with cloud-rain feedback typically capping extremes unless a temporary break in the monsoon occurs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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