Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 project a 31°C high amid 90% rain probability from the southwest monsoon, with similar outlooks showing 30–31°C ranges. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress peak solar heating relative to drier periods, aligning with typical wet-season August averages of 30–31°C at Ninoy Aquino airport. Traders have priced 29°C as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability because monsoon-driven convection often trims daytime maxima by 1–2°C below model guidance. Upcoming PAGASA updates and regional model runs will refine steering patterns and rainfall intensity ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のマニラの最高気温は?
29°C 46%
30℃ 27%
28°C 19%
31℃ 6%
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
19%
29°C
46%
30℃
27%
31℃
6%
32°C
1%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
29°C 46%
30℃ 27%
28°C 19%
31℃ 6%
25°C以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
19%
29°C
46%
30℃
27%
31℃
6%
32°C
1%
33℃
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 6 project a 31°C high amid 90% rain probability from the southwest monsoon, with similar outlooks showing 30–31°C ranges. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation suppress peak solar heating relative to drier periods, aligning with typical wet-season August averages of 30–31°C at Ninoy Aquino airport. Traders have priced 29°C as the leading outcome at 45.5% implied probability because monsoon-driven convection often trims daytime maxima by 1–2°C below model guidance. Upcoming PAGASA updates and regional model runs will refine steering patterns and rainfall intensity ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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