Trader consensus favoring 30–31°C for Panama City’s August 6 maximum reflects ensemble model guidance showing typical wet-season conditions, with moderate convection and high humidity expected to limit daytime peaks near the climatological average of 29–32°C. Regional atmospheric patterns, including influence from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, promote afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers that cap surface heating, creating tight differentiation between those two outcomes. Minor variations in forecast timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture account for the split probabilities, while historical analogs confirm rare exceedance of 33°C under similar setups. Official observations from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のパナマシティの最高気温は?
31℃ 37%
30°C 35%
29℃ 18%
32℃ 7%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
1%
27°C
4%
28℃
6%
29℃
18%
30°C
35%
31℃
37%
32℃
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C以上
1%
31℃ 37%
30°C 35%
29℃ 18%
32℃ 7%
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
1%
27°C
4%
28℃
6%
29℃
18%
30°C
35%
31℃
37%
32℃
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus favoring 30–31°C for Panama City’s August 6 maximum reflects ensemble model guidance showing typical wet-season conditions, with moderate convection and high humidity expected to limit daytime peaks near the climatological average of 29–32°C. Regional atmospheric patterns, including influence from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, promote afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers that cap surface heating, creating tight differentiation between those two outcomes. Minor variations in forecast timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture account for the split probabilities, while historical analogs confirm rare exceedance of 33°C under similar setups. Official observations from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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