Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 6 show sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly winds moderating peak heat, keeping daytime highs near seasonal norms of 28–30°C. Official model consensus and observational trends point to a maximum around 28–29°C, consistent with the market’s leading 60.5% implied probability for 28°C and 18.5% for 29°C. No heatwave or anomalous warming signals have emerged in recent days, while typical August Mediterranean influences—clear skies, sea breezes, and average humidity—support these outcomes over higher or lower thresholds. Updated agency guidance and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のイスタンブールの最高気温は?
28°C 68%
27℃ 16%
29℃ 16%
26℃ 3%
$13,682 Vol.
$13,682 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
3%
27℃
16%
28°C
68%
29℃
16%
30℃
1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
28°C 68%
27℃ 16%
29℃ 16%
26℃ 3%
$13,682 Vol.
$13,682 Vol.
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
3%
27℃
16%
28°C
68%
29℃
16%
30℃
1%
31℃
<1%
32℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Istanbul on August 6 show sunny conditions with moderate northeasterly winds moderating peak heat, keeping daytime highs near seasonal norms of 28–30°C. Official model consensus and observational trends point to a maximum around 28–29°C, consistent with the market’s leading 60.5% implied probability for 28°C and 18.5% for 29°C. No heatwave or anomalous warming signals have emerged in recent days, while typical August Mediterranean influences—clear skies, sea breezes, and average humidity—support these outcomes over higher or lower thresholds. Updated agency guidance and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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