Forecast consensus from models referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather positions 31–32°C as the most likely peak for Tel Aviv on August 7, driving the 52.5% implied probability on 32°C and 27% on 31°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions—high pressure, clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and insolation near seasonal norms—support modest heating around the 31°C August average without strong advection or subsidence to push extremes. Recent short-range updates show stable patterns with minimal day-to-day shifts, keeping 33°C at just 15% while lower outcomes remain under 5%. Forecasters note inherent model uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with new guidance expected before resolution. Trader capital reflects this evidence-based central tendency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
32°C 70%
31°C 27%
33°C 25%
30°C 4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
27%
32°C
53%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 70%
31°C 27%
33°C 25%
30°C 4%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
27%
32°C
53%
33°C
14%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models referenced by the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather positions 31–32°C as the most likely peak for Tel Aviv on August 7, driving the 52.5% implied probability on 32°C and 27% on 31°C. Typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions—high pressure, clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and insolation near seasonal norms—support modest heating around the 31°C August average without strong advection or subsidence to push extremes. Recent short-range updates show stable patterns with minimal day-to-day shifts, keeping 33°C at just 15% while lower outcomes remain under 5%. Forecasters note inherent model uncertainty in maximum temperature resolution, with new guidance expected before resolution. Trader capital reflects this evidence-based central tendency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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