Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of Mediterranean summer climatology. These conditions suppress cloud formation and limit marine cooling, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C and supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (69% implied probability). Minor model spread around 32–34°C reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon sea-breeze timing, while probabilities for extremes remain negligible given the absence of heatwave signals or anomalous synoptic patterns in the latest runs. Updated guidance expected midday will refine land-sea temperature contrasts and confirm the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
33°C 68%
32°C 24%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
$27,472 Vol.
$27,472 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
24%
33°C
68%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 68%
32°C 24%
34°C 9%
31°C <1%
$27,472 Vol.
$27,472 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
24%
33°C
68%
34°C
9%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service indicate peak temperatures of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow typical of Mediterranean summer climatology. These conditions suppress cloud formation and limit marine cooling, aligning with historical August averages near 30–32°C and supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (69% implied probability). Minor model spread around 32–34°C reflects small uncertainties in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon sea-breeze timing, while probabilities for extremes remain negligible given the absence of heatwave signals or anomalous synoptic patterns in the latest runs. Updated guidance expected midday will refine land-sea temperature contrasts and confirm the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問