Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow highs on August 8 will likely peak between 24–26 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–25 °C reflecting modest spread in guidance. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and allow daytime heating, while weak southerly flow brings slightly above-climatological warmth; however, timing of any passing short-wave trough or localized showers could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet current 500 hPa heights and surface dew points support the elevated range. Updated model runs and official synoptic briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のモスクワの最高気温は？
8月8日のモスクワの最高気温は？
25℃ 45%
24℃ 40%
26℃ 9%
23℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
8%
24℃
40%
25℃
45%
26℃
9%
27℃
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30℃以上
<1%
25℃ 45%
24℃ 40%
26℃ 9%
23℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
20℃以下
$193 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$55 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$329 Vol.
1%
23℃
$281 Vol.
8%
24℃
$659 Vol.
40%
25℃
$403 Vol.
45%
26℃
$214 Vol.
9%
27℃
$325 Vol.
2%
28°C
$183 Vol.
1%
29°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
30℃以上
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow highs on August 8 will likely peak between 24–26 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–25 °C reflecting modest spread in guidance. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and allow daytime heating, while weak southerly flow brings slightly above-climatological warmth; however, timing of any passing short-wave trough or localized showers could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet current 500 hPa heights and surface dew points support the elevated range. Updated model runs and official synoptic briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$3,119終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow highs on August 8 will likely peak between 24–26 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–25 °C reflecting modest spread in guidance. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and allow daytime heating, while weak southerly flow brings slightly above-climatological warmth; however, timing of any passing short-wave trough or localized showers could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet current 500 hPa heights and surface dew points support the elevated range. Updated model runs and official synoptic briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$3,119終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Moscow highs on August 8 will likely peak between 24–26 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–25 °C reflecting modest spread in guidance. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to limit cloud cover and allow daytime heating, while weak southerly flow brings slightly above-climatological warmth; however, timing of any passing short-wave trough or localized showers could shave 1–2 °C from the maximum. Historical August averages near 22 °C provide context, yet current 500 hPa heights and surface dew points support the elevated range. Updated model runs and official synoptic briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問