Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and Weather25 indicate a high near 25°C (77°F) for Warsaw on August 8 under partly sunny conditions, consistent with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 23–25°C. Trader consensus nevertheless centers on 23–24°C, reflecting uncertainty in short-range model guidance, possible increased cloud cover or Atlantic airflow moderating temperatures, and the narrow resolution thresholds for daily extremes. These probabilities align with typical variability around seasonal baselines, where minor shifts in steering patterns or humidity can cap highs below forecast peaks while rare warm advection remains improbable given current setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のワルシャワの最高気温は?
23℃ 46%
24°C 28%
22°C 21%
25°C 5%
20℃以下
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
21%
23℃
46%
24°C
28%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27℃
2%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C以上
<1%
23℃ 46%
24°C 28%
22°C 21%
25°C 5%
20℃以下
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
21%
23℃
46%
24°C
28%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27℃
2%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and Weather25 indicate a high near 25°C (77°F) for Warsaw on August 8 under partly sunny conditions, consistent with late-summer climatology where average maxima reach 23–25°C. Trader consensus nevertheless centers on 23–24°C, reflecting uncertainty in short-range model guidance, possible increased cloud cover or Atlantic airflow moderating temperatures, and the narrow resolution thresholds for daily extremes. These probabilities align with typical variability around seasonal baselines, where minor shifts in steering patterns or humidity can cap highs below forecast peaks while rare warm advection remains improbable given current setup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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