Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は?
75°F以下 55%
76~77°F 25%
78〜79°F 15%
80〜81°F 7%
75°F以下
55%
76~77°F
25%
78〜79°F
15%
80〜81°F
7%
82〜83°F
2%
84〜85°F
1%
86~87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92~93°F
<1%
94°F以上
<1%
75°F以下 55%
76~77°F 25%
78〜79°F 15%
80〜81°F 7%
75°F以下
55%
76~77°F
25%
78〜79°F
15%
80〜81°F
7%
82〜83°F
2%
84〜85°F
1%
86~87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
<1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92~93°F
<1%
94°F以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Coastal marine influences from the cool Pacific Ocean and persistent marine layer are positioning San Francisco for a highest temperature on August 9 most likely in the mid-70s or below, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts showing highs near 70-75°F amid typical August patterns. Weak onshore flow and possible fog or low clouds limit daytime warming despite seasonal solar input, consistent with historical averages around 69°F and recent model consensus avoiding heat advection from inland highs. Trader-implied probabilities, with 75°F or below leading at 43%, reflect this stability, while modest upside to 76-77°F at 25.5% accounts for any clearing or slight ridge strengthening ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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