Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and seasonal models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 10, consistent with August climatology where average minima reach about 24°C amid persistent Pacific high pressure and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects and potential cloud cover further moderate temperature drops, while above-normal summer 2026 outlooks introduce slight upward bias without altering the tight distribution. Trader consensus at 54.5% for 24°C and 37% for 25°C captures model consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting limited scope for significant cooling or heat advection in the short term before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月10日の東京の最低気温は？
8月10日の東京の最低気温は？
24°C 69%
25℃ 39%
23°C 19%
26℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
18°C以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
1%
21℃
2%
22℃
5%
23°C
19%
24°C
58%
25℃
39%
26℃
8%
27°C
4%
28℃以上
1%
24°C 69%
25℃ 39%
23°C 19%
26℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/10
18°C以下
$27 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$27 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$32 Vol.
1%
21℃
$72 Vol.
2%
22℃
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$0 Vol.
19%
24°C
$5 Vol.
58%
25℃
$105 Vol.
39%
26℃
$0 Vol.
8%
27°C
$37 Vol.
4%
28℃以上
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and seasonal models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 10, consistent with August climatology where average minima reach about 24°C amid persistent Pacific high pressure and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects and potential cloud cover further moderate temperature drops, while above-normal summer 2026 outlooks introduce slight upward bias without altering the tight distribution. Trader consensus at 54.5% for 24°C and 37% for 25°C captures model consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting limited scope for significant cooling or heat advection in the short term before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$333終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and seasonal models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 10, consistent with August climatology where average minima reach about 24°C amid persistent Pacific high pressure and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects and potential cloud cover further moderate temperature drops, while above-normal summer 2026 outlooks introduce slight upward bias without altering the tight distribution. Trader consensus at 54.5% for 24°C and 37% for 25°C captures model consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting limited scope for significant cooling or heat advection in the short term before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$333終了日
2026/08/10マーケット開始日
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and seasonal models indicate an overnight low near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 10, consistent with August climatology where average minima reach about 24°C amid persistent Pacific high pressure and high humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects and potential cloud cover further moderate temperature drops, while above-normal summer 2026 outlooks introduce slight upward bias without altering the tight distribution. Trader consensus at 54.5% for 24°C and 37% for 25°C captures model consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting limited scope for significant cooling or heat advection in the short term before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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