Current forecast guidance from NWS and private models places NYC's August 8 high in the upper 80s to low 90s, reflecting a warm, humid air mass under Bermuda High influence with southerly flow and heat-advisory conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 88–93°F because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, convective timing, or boundary-layer mixing could cap the peak below 90°F or allow brief clearing to push readings into the low 90s at Central Park. Urban heat-island effects and dew-point values near 70°F support the upper end of that range, while any earlier showers or increased mid-level moisture would favor the lower bins. Updated model runs and NWS short-term discussions expected today will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
8月8日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
90-91°F 35%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 35%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 29%
86-87°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
81°F or below
$12 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$2 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$11 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$21 Vol.
8%
88-89°F
$202 Vol.
29%
90-91°F
$27 Vol.
35%
92-93°F
$107 Vol.
30%
94-95°F
$67 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$27 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$32 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from NWS and private models places NYC's August 8 high in the upper 80s to low 90s, reflecting a warm, humid air mass under Bermuda High influence with southerly flow and heat-advisory conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 88–93°F because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, convective timing, or boundary-layer mixing could cap the peak below 90°F or allow brief clearing to push readings into the low 90s at Central Park. Urban heat-island effects and dew-point values near 70°F support the upper end of that range, while any earlier showers or increased mid-level moisture would favor the lower bins. Updated model runs and NWS short-term discussions expected today will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$534終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from NWS and private models places NYC's August 8 high in the upper 80s to low 90s, reflecting a warm, humid air mass under Bermuda High influence with southerly flow and heat-advisory conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 88–93°F because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, convective timing, or boundary-layer mixing could cap the peak below 90°F or allow brief clearing to push readings into the low 90s at Central Park. Urban heat-island effects and dew-point values near 70°F support the upper end of that range, while any earlier showers or increased mid-level moisture would favor the lower bins. Updated model runs and NWS short-term discussions expected today will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$534終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETCurrent forecast guidance from NWS and private models places NYC's August 8 high in the upper 80s to low 90s, reflecting a warm, humid air mass under Bermuda High influence with southerly flow and heat-advisory conditions. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 88–93°F because small differences in afternoon cloud cover, convective timing, or boundary-layer mixing could cap the peak below 90°F or allow brief clearing to push readings into the low 90s at Central Park. Urban heat-island effects and dew-point values near 70°F support the upper end of that range, while any earlier showers or increased mid-level moisture would favor the lower bins. Updated model runs and NWS short-term discussions expected today will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問