Latest short-range forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Toronto on August 7, with possible patchy showers or variable cloud cover that could cap or slightly elevate the peak. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C, aligning with climatological averages for early August and the influence of a warm but not extreme air mass. Recent model runs show limited divergence on steering patterns and instability, keeping outcomes clustered between 24–28°C while reducing odds for extremes above 29°C or below 24°C. Updated guidance expected later today will likely refine these trader-assessed probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のトロントの最高気温は？
8月7日のトロントの最高気温は？
26°C 39%
25°C 24%
27°C 22%
24°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
24%
26°C
39%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 39%
25°C 24%
27°C 22%
24°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
22°C or below
$98 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$86 Vol.
1%
24°C
$328 Vol.
10%
25°C
$408 Vol.
24%
26°C
$1,067 Vol.
39%
27°C
$231 Vol.
22%
28°C
$2,041 Vol.
5%
29°C
$160 Vol.
3%
30°C
$81 Vol.
1%
31°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$121 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Toronto on August 7, with possible patchy showers or variable cloud cover that could cap or slightly elevate the peak. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C, aligning with climatological averages for early August and the influence of a warm but not extreme air mass. Recent model runs show limited divergence on steering patterns and instability, keeping outcomes clustered between 24–28°C while reducing odds for extremes above 29°C or below 24°C. Updated guidance expected later today will likely refine these trader-assessed probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$4,727終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Toronto on August 7, with possible patchy showers or variable cloud cover that could cap or slightly elevate the peak. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C, aligning with climatological averages for early August and the influence of a warm but not extreme air mass. Recent model runs show limited divergence on steering patterns and instability, keeping outcomes clustered between 24–28°C while reducing odds for extremes above 29°C or below 24°C. Updated guidance expected later today will likely refine these trader-assessed probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$4,727終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETLatest short-range forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate a daytime high near 26°C in Toronto on August 7, with possible patchy showers or variable cloud cover that could cap or slightly elevate the peak. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 36.5% implied probability, followed closely by 25°C and 27°C, aligning with climatological averages for early August and the influence of a warm but not extreme air mass. Recent model runs show limited divergence on steering patterns and instability, keeping outcomes clustered between 24–28°C while reducing odds for extremes above 29°C or below 24°C. Updated guidance expected later today will likely refine these trader-assessed probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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